Hey everyone! I started building machine learning models to predict various sporting events almost 4 years ago. Once I realized how much better my NFL models were than the current sports books, I thought it would be great to start publishing my results as proof!

This year will be my “beta test” to make this public. Each NFL week, I will be publishing the probabilities of each game’s outcome, as well as a summary of the previous week’s predictions in terms of both ROI and accuracy of the model’s picks. As a disclaimer, the model is not very good at off-season changes so it usually requires around 4 weeks of data before being able to predict outcomes at a higher accuracy than sportsbooks; the good part is that it continually gets better and better as the season progresses !

Stay posted for weekly results.