Another week done, and as promised, the model continues to get better and better. The Bills cost it a massive green week; if Josh Allen didn’t have heat exhaustion, the model would have been very positive this week. Regardless, The model had some definite improvement as it continues to get more picks correct, and the ROI continues to improve as I expected. It impressively picked 4 upsets: Broncos, Cowboys, Jaguars and Colts! Due to my unfortunate decision of excluding the colts, I basically broke even this week despite the positive model gains.

Week 3 results

Total Units bet: 11.33

Total units won/lost: +1.47 units

ROIv1: 13%

ROIv2: 1.47%

YTD Results

total units bet: 32.03

Total units won/lost: -5.51

ROIV1: -17.2%

ROIv2: -5.47%

Overall, there has been definite improvement in the model picks over the last three weeks, and more importantly it was finally slightly in the green!

As a side note, I will also be adding a third column weekly for the results: YTD since week 4 (since this is when I initially expected it to be positive in the first place).

Although I mentioned I believed Week 3 had good edges last week (I was just slightly wrong unfortunately since I didn’t bet on the Colts personally), Week 4 is, as mentioned many times, when ROIs have transitioned to positive historically. I do recommend readers to start using the picks next week, or week 5 if you want to see a more positive ROI week as proof first. Check in later this week for next weeks picks, as I do expect the first positive ROI week of the year (without a caveat)! Also stay tuned for a slight update in when/how I will be writing these articles since we have reached Week 4!