As promised, there was some absolutely crazy positive regression this week. The model had some absolutely great picks, and it was almost 100% accurate aside from the Raiders and Bengals!! It was able to make back the money it lost over the first few weeks and much more!

Week 8 Results

Total units bet: 49

Total units won/lost: 14

ROIv1: 29%

ROIv2: 14%

Week 8 Results (User Scaling)

Total units placed: 53

Total units won/(lost): 12

ROIv1: 23%

ROIv2: 12%

YTD Results (Since week 4)

Total units placed: 210

Total units won/lost: 1.7

ROIv1: .8%

ROIv2: -.3%

It feels great to finally get some positive regression! Now I do have to say this year has truly been more up and down. Last year the model was much more consistently getting 5-10% per week but this year it seems it has either a really good week or really bad. The NFL has just been an unprecedented level of crazy even for the NFL. Despite this, the model is showing the ability to persevere in an absolutely crazy year. I still expect it to be positive by the end of the year.

On a side note, my picks this week were slightly lower ROI from the model but still positive. Let’s see how this trend evolves over the year, but remember this is purely for fun. The model is the more trustworthy source. Stay tuned for next Weeks picks!