Welcome back to another NFL season! In this article will be a recap of the previous year. The results posts ended on Week 13 (apologies, the end of the year got busy!), but I will post the rest of the results here summed up for Week 14-16. Stay tuned for another article detailing updates on this year as well! P.S.: Scroll down to the end if you just want the final results from last year!

As a reminder, the ROI is calculated in 2 ways:

ROIv1 = (Units Won/Units Wagered)*100

ROIv2 = (Ending Bankroll/Starting Bankroll)*100

1U should be approximately 1-2% of a bankroll depending on risk aversity, but for this calculation it assumes all units are 2% AND the bankroll is not updated until the end of the season. For example, if in the first week the starting bankroll is $1000 and the ending bankroll is $1100, it does not assume that the unit size increases from 20$ (assuming 1U=2% bankroll) to 22$ (i.e. no compounding profit).

Upon feedback, this calculation will be included in the weekly results post.

Week 14 Results:

Game Picks:

Record: 5-7-1 (the first losing week of the entire year so far!)

Units Wagered: 10.3

Units Won/Lost: -0.5

ROIv1: -4.9%

ROIv2: -1%

Player Picks:

Record: 15-11

Units Wagered: 2.6

Units Won/Lost: 0.21

ROIv1: 8.1%

ROIv2: 0.42%

Post Week 14 Cumulative Results

Game Picks:

Record: 74-62-2

Units Wagered: 114

Units Won/Lost: 23.15

ROIv1: 20.3%

ROIv2: 46.3%

Player Picks:

Record: 141-93

Units Wagered: 23.6

Units Won/Lost: 2.75

ROIv1: 11.65%

ROIv2: 5.5%

Week 15 Results:

Game Picks:

Record: 9-7

Units Wagered: 15.4

Units Won/Lost: 3.78

ROIv1: 24.5%

ROIv2: 7.56%

Player Picks:

Record: 14-13

Units Wagered: 2.7

Units Won/Lost: 0.05

ROIv1: 1.8%

ROIv2: 0.1%

Post Week 15 Cumulative Results

Game Picks:

Record: 83-69-2

Units Wagered: 129.4

Units Won/Lost: 26.9

ROIv1: 20.8%

ROIv2: 53.8%

Player Picks:

Record: 155-106

Units Wagered: 26.3

Units Won/Lost: 2.8

ROIv1: 10.6%

ROIv2: 5.6%

Week 16 Results:

Game Picks:

Record: 3-7 (ending with the worst week of the season with a clean loss slate in the afternoon games!)

Units Wagered: 6.9

Units Won/Lost: -1.2

ROIv1: -17.3% (worst of the entire season!!)

ROIv2: -2.4%

Player Picks:

n/a (was overseas so some scripts were having issues running remotely)

FINAL SEASON CUMALATIVE RESULTS

Game Picks:

Record: 86-75-2 (53.4% win rate!)

Units Wagered: 136.3

Units Won/Lost: 25.7

ROIv1: 18.9%

ROIv2: 51.4%

Player Picks:

Record: 155-106

Units Wagered: 26.3

Units Won/Lost: 2.8

ROIv1: 10.6%

ROIv2: 5.6%

TOTAL COMBINED ROI v2 (player+game picks): 57%

Basically, if you started with 1000$ at the beginning of the season, you would have ended with 1570!! Another amazing year for the model!