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Week 4 Results
The model got off to a successful start in Week 4. Below is a refresher of the metrics that will be used to score the model. There will be two types of “ROI” (return on investment). ROI version 1 (ROIv1): Units Won/Units Placed * 100 ROI version 2(ROIv2): Current Overall Bankroll/Starting Bankroll * 100 Note…
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Week 4 Picks
Welcome back! The model had an incredibly successful previous season with a ~70% ROI (check out my previous posts for more detail/weekly tracking!). Now that there is enough data after 3 weeks of NFL, the picks are ready and shown below. After each week is over I will give updates and insights into the success…
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Week 18/Playoffs Results
Week 18 Results Total Units bet: 25.55 Total units won/lost: +2.6 ROIv1: 10.2% ROIv2: 2.6% YTD Results Total Units bet: 568.35 Total units won/lost: +59.8 ROIv1: 10.5% ROIv2:70.45% Use this article to refer to the definitions of the two ROI’s shown above. Remember that the expected return was ~75% through the season, so although it…
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Week 17 Results
Hey all! Sorry for the late logging, but with the up coming season, I wanted to recap all the weekly results and the YTD results. Expect a few articles for each week of picks as well as a final recap of the 2022-23 season. Note that the Twitter account linked to this site has time…
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Special Edition: Super Bowl Picks
1.5U: Eagles -5.5 (+165) Ladder SGP: 1U: O 199.5 Hurts Pass Yd, U 34.5 Rush Mahomes, 2+ passTD Mahomes, U89.5 Rec Yds Devonta Smith, O 64.5 Kelce Rec Yds, 0.5 1st half TDs PHI+KC, U 74.5 rush Yd Hurts, O 44.5 Sanders Rush Yards (+800) 0.25U: O 199.5 Hurts Pass Yd, U 34.5 Rush Mahomes,…
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Special Edition: Championship Round with Same Game Parlays
1.5U: Chiefs -2 (-110) 2U: Eagles -5.5 (+140) 1U Same Game Parlay: Hurts O 199.5 Pass yds, AJ Brown O Rec 59.5 yds, Mccaffrey O Rush 44.5 yds, Purdy U Pass 269.5 yds (+196)
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Sports Models Built with Machine Learning 