Category: NFL Picks

  • Week 10 Picks

    Parlay: Unit Size: 1.8U (+180)

  • Week 9 Results

    Another poor week for the model, but hopefully it is finally able to bounce back next week! Parlay Result: -1.45U Total Week 9 Results: Record: 2-5-1 Parlay Record: 0-1 Total Units : 11.45 Total Profit/(Loss): (3.1) ROIv1 = -27.1% ROIv2 =-6.1% Annual Results: Total Record: 31-26-2 (round robin/parlay will be considered either win/loss for annual…

  • Week 9 Picks

    There is no round robin this week, instead only a 2 team parlay in its place: Parlay Size: 1.45U (+148)

  • Week 9 Results

    Round Robin Result: -2.95U/3.6U Total Week 8 Results: Record: 7-2 RoundRobin Record: 0-1 Total Units : 15.6 Total Profit/(Loss): 1.78 ROIv1 = 11.8% ROIv2 =3.56% Total Record: 29-20 (round robin will be considered either win/loss for annual record) Total Units: 54.1 Units Won/Lost: 1.82 ROIv1: 3.34% ROIv2: 3.64% Stay tuned for next week’s picks!

  • Week 8 Picks

    Round Robin (All Pick): Units: 3.6U

  • Week 7 Results

    Unfortunately the model had its 2nd worst week dating back to 2021. The profit from the first few weeks was entirely wiped out by a crazy week of NFL. The good news is that the other week that performed as poorly (week10 last week), the model ended up having a 70% ROI the following week!…

  • Week 7 Picks

    There will be a few new bet types over the next few weeks, including alternate spreads,round robins, and parlays. They will be introduced weekly as the model gains more confidence. The format will split into each bet type, using the same table as previous weeks for the straight bets. Round Robin (“All Pick” Round Robin…

  • Bet Type Explained: Parlay/ Round Robin

    A round robin essentially creates multiple smaller “parlays” together from a larger set of games selected. A parlay is simply a combination of 2 or more bets, in which the odds improve, but all selections need to win in order for the bet to win. Below is a quick explanation of parlays, as a precursor…

  • Week 6 Results

    The model had it’s worst week yet, but still came out positive! Note that the Chiefs vs Broncos game ended with a “push” and was categorized as “-1” in the “correct” row. This is because the Chiefs won by the exact amount the spread was, meaning if a bet were theoretically placed, it would be…

  • Week 6 Picks

    After another stellar week for the model, the picks are in for Week 6!