These are all based on live moneyline/spread data taken at the time the model was run.

The model got off to a successful start in Week 4. Below is a refresher of the metrics that will be used to score the model. There will be two types of “ROI” (return on investment). ROI version 1 (ROIv1): Units Won/Units Placed * 100 ROI version 2(ROIv2): Current Overall Bankroll/Starting Bankroll * 100 Note…

Welcome back! The model had an incredibly successful previous season with a ~70% ROI (check out my previous posts for more detail/weekly tracking!). Now that there is enough data after 3 weeks of NFL, the picks are ready and shown below. After each week is over I will give updates and insights into the success…

Week 18 Results Total Units bet: 25.55 Total units won/lost: +2.6 ROIv1: 10.2% ROIv2: 2.6% YTD Results Total Units bet: 568.35 Total units won/lost: +59.8 ROIv1: 10.5% ROIv2:70.45% Use this article to refer to the definitions of the two ROI’s shown above. Remember that the expected return was ~75% through the season, so although it…

Hey all! Sorry for the late logging, but with the up coming season, I wanted to recap all the weekly results and the YTD results. Expect a few articles for each week of picks as well as a final recap of the 2022-23 season. Note that the Twitter account linked to this site has time…