Category: NFL Picks
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Week 7 Picks
Based on feedback received so far, the write ups are a great addition to the site. For those that do not care to read you can scroll to the bottom where the picks will be as usual. Follow my Twitter (@suavybets) for live updates for when any new picks get released. Starting this week, I…
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Week 6 Picks
For a reference on using the model to make picks, read this article. Also, I also created a twitter account linked to this, so to get live updates notified directly to your phone, follow @suavybets! Normally I have been breaking down the bets into the morning and afternoon, but this week the model has a…
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Week 5 Results
For a wiki reference for any terminology that is unfamiliar, refer to this article. 3 profitable weeks in a row, the model is on a roll as expected, with the first truly profitable (as in significant return since the other two weeks were only +~.75U) week. The better part of that story is that the…
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Week 4 (Sunday Morning Pick)
4.015 U: Vikings-3.5 Spread (-110 Odds) I will be linking the excel sheet for the early morning post at 9 AM MST. Note that I have upped the scale-down factor for the unit sizes from the model from 90% to 50% this week (remember the bets were heavily scaled down to account for low-likelihood of…
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Week 3 Predictions
Disclaimer: This is an exciting week, as this is the first week that I will personally be placing bets. To stay on the safer side, I continue to urge readers to wait till Week 4 (or 5 to be safer) but based on previous season data, Week 3 has the potential to be profitable depending…
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Betting Terminology
Upon some feedback I thought I would create a reference article for some commonly used betting terminology for those not familiar with it. The end of the article will also have a legend for the short-forms the articles will use from now on. Sportsbook Odds American sportsbooks will always give odds such as -150 or…
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Week 1 Picks
Welcome to the first week of predictions! To preface this article, most models that were built do not give accurate information till around Week 4, so all the bets will be relatively small until then. The reason for this is that the most models were built using cumulative stats, which likely have a lot of…
Sports Models Built with Machine Learning 