Category: NFL Picks
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Week 2 Sunday Morning Picks
I have had questions/requests about why the unit sizing is so specific and sometimes very small. The first part relates to how the model works. After computing the probability a given team wins, the way the bet is sized is by using something called the kelly critereon. To ensure profitability, it is best to stick…
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2025-26 NFL Season Updates (And Other Sports!)
Hello everyone, welcome back to another exciting year of NFL football! Some non-football related updates first: -based on popular feedback (and to further prove these picks with uneditable timestamps) I will be linking a Pikkit account soon (for those that do not have the app, it is essentially an app that allows you to tail…
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ROI Updates
Welcome back to another NFL season! In this article will be a recap of the previous year. The results posts ended on Week 13 (apologies, the end of the year got busy!), but I will post the rest of the results here summed up for Week 14-16. Stay tuned for another article detailing updates on…
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Week 16 Afternoon Slate Picks
Game Picks 1.5U Bills -14 (-110) 0.3U Jaguars +2.5 (-110) 0.3U Jaguars ML (+115) 0.3U 49ers -1.5 (-110)
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Week 16 Morning Slate Picks
Apologies for the bad formatting, some of my scripts were not able to run correctly remotely. Also unfortunately I will not have guaranteed access to internet so this may be the last week of official picks, and the model ROI will end this week (after the night game I will post an official update on…
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