Category: Uncategorized
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Week 5 Sunday Afternoon Picks
PHI vs AZ: PHI ML (-230) 1.24U SF v CAR: -6.5 Spread (-110) 1.5U Parlay: PHI ML, SF -6.5, KC ML (+251) 1.5U
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Week 5 Sunday Morning Picks
Last Updated: 9:00 AM MST Here is the excel sheet for the entire week
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Week 5 Sunday Morning (London) Pick
GB vs NYG: GB ML(-360): 3.55U Parlay: GB,JAX,MIN,KC (+183): 1.12U Parlay: GB,JAX,MIN,KC, TEN, SF (+700): 0.25U
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Week 4 Results/Comments
For a wiki reference for any terminology that is familiar, refer to this article. To preface this week’s results, I wanted to lay out some more changes, as I will continue to try to make this process more smooth over the next few weeks. Firstly, upon feedback, I will post the Thursday night and Monday…
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Sunday Afternoon Picks
AWAY TEAM HOME TEAM MODEL PICK ODDS UNIT SIZE NE GB GB ML -435 3.72 KC TB KC +1 Spread -110 1.33 DEN LVR LVR ML -135 0.7 na na GB, KC, LVR ML +320 1 1:21 MST Update AWAY TEAM HOME TEAM MODEL PICK ODDS UNIT SIZE AZ CAR CAR ML +130 1.25
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Week 4 Sunday Morning Picks
AWAY TEAM HOME TEAM MODEL PICK ODDS UNIT SIZE CLE ATL CLE -1.5 -110 3.9 WAS DAL DAL ML -140 1.77 SEA DET DET ML -180 0.63 TEN IND TEN +3.5 SPREAD -110 2.025 CHI NYG NYG ML -145 0.49 PHI JAX PHI ML -225 0.565 na na DAL ML, PHI ML +125 0.5 na…
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A Guide on Using the Model
I wanted to write an article on the general basics of using the model to place bets. As mentioned a few times, the model will output unit sizes for each bet. Given everyone’s bank roll is different and it is easy to mess up the math doing it manually when there are 10+ bets, I…
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Week 3 Results
Another week done, and as promised, the model continues to get better and better. The Bills cost it a massive green week; if Josh Allen didn’t have heat exhaustion, the model would have been very positive this week. Regardless, The model had some definite improvement as it continues to get more picks correct, and the…
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Week 2 Results
Wow, another crazy week of results! 4 huge collapses in the last few minutes of each game, all of which the model was on the wrong side of, again!! Unfortunately my prediction of break even did not quite happen, although the overall ROI did go up slightly compared to version 1, and there was definitive…
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Week 2 Predictions
The model got off to a rough start after some unlucky overtime outcomes, but as mentioned this was very much expected. The week 2 results should improve into close to break-even territory based on results from previous years. Here are the model predictions for Week 2: 1.29 Units: Baltimore Ravens ML (-180) 1.14 Units: NY…